File name: ENSOblog-map-4panel-djf-precip-nmme2-20240328.png
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(top, left to right) The precipitation forecast for this coming winter (Dec-Feb 2023-24) based on the average of all the individual models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble forecast system. The actual precipitation difference from average for this past winter. (bottom, left to right) An individual model forecast that is a very good match to what actually occurred. An individual model forecast that deviates significantly from what occurred. NOAA Climate.gov image, based on analysis by Nat Johnson.