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File: ENSOblog_probabilities-graph_20240208.gif

File name: ENSOblog_probabilities-graph_20240208.gif
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Alternate Text: Animation of February 2024 ENSO Outlook. Red bars are chances for El Nino. They remain large until Spring when chances for El Nino drop. Gray bars represent chances for ENSO-Neutral. These get larger in spring. Blue bars represent chances for La Nina. These get larger by late spring early summer.
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Animation of February 2024 ENSO Outlook. Red bars are chances for El Nino. They remain large until Spring when chances for El Nino drop. Gray bars represent chances for ENSO-Neutral. These get larger in spring. Blue bars represent chances for La Nina. These get larger by late spring early summer.

Image caption

Animation of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center February 2024 ENSO forecast for each of the three possible ENSO categories for the next 8 overlapping 3-month seasons. Blue bars show the chances of La Niña, gray bars the chances for neutral, and red bars the chances for El Niño. Climate.gov animation based on graph by Michelle L'Heureux.