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File: CPC-official-probs-Feb2025.png

graph of the probability of El Niño and La Niña through fall 2025

Image caption

Out of the three climate possibilities—La Niña, El Niño, and neutral—forecasts say that ENSO-neutral conditions are most likely for the March–May period (gray bar). Looking out to the Northern Hemisphere fall, neutral is the most likely, but La Niña (blue bar) has nearly twice the odds of El Niño (red bar). NOAA Climate Prediction Center image.