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File: ENSOBlog_Mar25_nmme_ver_precip

Pair of maps of North America comparing last winter's precipitation forecast to actual precipitation

Image caption

(left) The precipitation forecast for this past winter (Dec-Feb 2024-25) based on the average of all the individual models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble forecast system produced last fall (Sep-Nov 2024). (right) The actual precipitation pattern that occurred this past winter from ERA5 Reanalysis, expressed as the difference from the 1991-2020 winter average. NOAA Climate.gov image, based on analysis by Nat Johnson.