
Image caption
(left) The precipitation forecast for this past winter (Dec-Feb 2024-25) based on the average of all the individual models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble forecast system produced last fall (Sep-Nov 2024). (right) The actual precipitation pattern that occurred this past winter from ERA5 Reanalysis, expressed as the difference from the 1991-2020 winter average. NOAA Climate.gov image, based on analysis by Nat Johnson.