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Probabilities, Uncertainties and Units Used to Quantify Climate Change

Wendy Van Norden, University of Wisconsin - Global and Regional Climate Change

In this exercise learners use statistics (T-test using Excel) to analyze an authentic dataset from Lake Mendota in Madison, WI that spans the last 150 years to explore ice on/ice off dates. In addition, students are asked to investigate the IPCC Likelihood Scale and apply it to their statistical results.

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  • Group students so that each group has one person with good Excel knowledge and one person with good math skills. Recommend this activity for AP classes only or undergraduate level. The lack of teaching guide should not be an issue for advanced high school or undergraduate instructors because the activity is well laid out.