I am in agriculture in Australia and use historical STT supplied by NOAA to tie in with actual rainfall received on my property for that period. The current pattern actual and forecast looks like that of mid 1986 to early 1988 where an El Niño started in late 86 contued right through 87 and ended in 88. This resulted in 30% of ave rainfall for both 86&87 and 120% for 88. In you update you state this pattern has not happened since 1950 . Are the two patterns the same or am I on wrong track.