RE: April 2019 El Niño update
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Hi Lachlan,
To clarify, I meant that the forecast pattern, which predicts the Nino3.4 SST will remain between 0.5 and 1 degree above average through next winter, is not something we've seen before. You're right that the current pattern resembles the first part of 1986-88, through spring 1987, when the SST anomaly started to increase, eventually peaking at 1.7 degrees above average in July-September.