El Niño in 2025-26? Another Wet Winter in SoCal 2025-26?
It seems like due to the Weak and Short Lived La Niña this year, it seems like the La Niña effects may be short lived. Could SoCal see a wet winter in 2025-26 even in ENSO Neutral (SoCal had a wet winter in 1985-86 ENSO Neutral that followed a couple Weak La Niñas in 1983-85 after a Strong 1982-83 El Niño due to Weak La Niñas making La Niña effects short lived)? Also could an El Niño show up unexpectedly in 2025-26 following the 2024-25 Weak and Short Lived Single Dip La Niña and not be realized until Mid-Late Summer even though odds are not in favor of El Niño according to NOAA (I thought 2006-07 was an example of something like this occurring following the 2005-06 Weak and Short Lived Single Dip La Niña)? If it does, even a Weak El Niño could add fuel to a wet winter in SoCal in 2025-26 following a dry winter in SoCal 2024-25 (a wet winter in SoCal 2025-26 could avert the drought from 2024-25 dry winter from being an emergency) given how recent the last Strong El Niño wet winter in SoCal was in 2023-24 (also similar to how 2002-03 Moderate El Niño wet SoCal winter was followed by 2003-04 ENSO Neutral dry SoCal winter and then followed by 2004-05 Weak El Niño wet SoCal winter where the wet winter in 2004-05 in SoCal averted drought from 2003-04 dry winter being an emergency).