There's a 54% chance this El Nino, currently strong, will peak as a "historically strong" event.
ENSO Blog
A blog about monitoring and forecasting El Niño, La Niña, and its impacts.
It's not perfect, but ENSO is still the best tool we have for predicting average winter precipitation over the U.S.
El Niño is cruising along in the tropical Pacific. Let our blogger tour you through some of the potential El Niño impacts this winter!
El Niño may mean an increased chance of snowfall for some of you. For the rest of you, it may be a bridge to s(nowhere).
El Niño is on the prowl in the tropical Pacific. How loud do forecasters think it's going to roar?
El Niño communicates with North America by tweaking the jet stream. How does all that work?
The September 2023 ENSO Outlook predicts El Niño will stick around at least through January-March 2024. But don't just take it from us, hear directly from the Pacific Ocean and tropical atmosphere, who join the blog to answer some questions.
How will the current El Niño impact coastal flooding over the next year? Guest blogger William Sweet and his colleagues discuss how the combination of long-term sea level rise and El Niño have increased the risk of high-tide flooding along both U.S. coastlines.
The chance that El Niño will continue through the winter is greater than 95%. What's behind the forecast? And what could El Niño mean for global temperatures?
The swings between El Niño and La Niña have been bigger in recent decades than earlier ones. Our guest blogger covers new research pointing the finger at human-caused climate change.