RE: It feels like el niño already in Central America
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It has certainly been dry in Nicaragua since the start of the Primera season in May. TRMM satellite rainfall estimate anomalies for the May 1-July 10, 2014 period show dryness extending across much of Nicaragua and into southern Honduras.
To take a look at what the future holds, check out our colleague's seasonal forecasts from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI). The seasonal forecasts issued in June for the July-September and August-October period shows dry conditions persisting.